Netherlands · Eredivisie

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle

Kick-off 20:00 · Fri, Nov 6

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Willem II 25.6% Draw 26.2% PEC Zwolle 48.2%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 7.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to PEC Zwolle: 0 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Willem II 2 wins, 0 draws, PEC Zwolle 2 wins in the last 4 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.7%

Exact-score model probability

Willem II

L L L L L L

Form 0-0-6 Goals 5:25 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 4.17

PEC Zwolle

W D W L L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:13 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 4

Willem II 2wins ·0 draws ·PEC Zwolle 2wins

Willem II 1-2 PEC ZwolleMay 14, 2025

Willem II 1-0 PEC ZwolleDec 13, 2024

Willem II 0-2 PEC ZwolleJan 14, 2022

Willem II 1-0 PEC ZwolleAug 28, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Willem II win25.6%

Draw26.2%

PEC Zwolle win48.2%

Over 1.5 goals80.1%

Over 2.5 goals92.9%

Over 3.5 goals33.5%

Both teams to score83.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

86.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

84.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home

84.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)83.9%

Draw or Away (X2)82.9%

Draw No Bet - Away80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.578.7%

Goal in Both Halves78.7%

Away Win67.2%

Home or Draw (1X)32.5%

Draw No Bet - Home20.0%

Home Win16.7%

Draw15.8%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.5%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals81.3%

Under 5.5 Goals72.1%

Over 3.5 Goals63.9%

4+ Goals63.9%

Under 4.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

2-4 Goals48.3%

Over 4.5 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals36.5%

Under 3.5 Goals36.1%

1-3 Goals34.5%

2-3 Goals29.2%

Over 5.5 Goals27.9%

Under 2.5 Goals18.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.4%

1-2 Goals17.1%

Exactly 2 Goals11.8%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals1.5%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.4%

Home Team to Score76.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)72.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)27.3%

Away Clean Sheet22.8%

Away Win to Nil21.6%

Home Clean Sheet5.3%

Home Win to Nil4.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.4%

Away Over 1.578.8%

Home Over 0.576.8%

Away Over 2.556.0%

Away 3+ Goals56.0%

Home Over 1.543.2%

Home Exactly 133.7%

Home Exactly 224.8%

Home Exactly 022.8%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Home Over 2.518.4%

Home 3+ Goals18.4%

Away Exactly 115.5%

Away Exactly 05.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away92.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home92.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home70.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)67.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)51.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home51.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)47.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away47.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)32.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home32.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)29.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away29.5%

Away to win by 3+29.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.4%

Away to win by 119.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 218.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)16.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw13.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.7%

Home to win by 19.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away7.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)7.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home7.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.6%

Home to win by 24.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.4%

Home to win by 3+2.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.567.5%

Away & Over 2.558.4%

Away & BTTS45.5%

Away & No BTTS21.6%

Draw & BTTS14.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.8%

Home & Over 2.513.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Home & BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.59.3%

Away & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Under 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & No BTTS4.1%

Home & Under 2.53.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.3%

HT Over 1.559.0%

HT Away Win52.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT/FT Away/Away46.5%

HT Under 1.541.0%

HT Both Teams Score35.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw28.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT Home Win18.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.2%

HT Under 0.513.7%

HT/FT Home/Home9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away4.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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