England · Championship

Wolves vs Cardiff

Kick-off 16:00 · Sat, Oct 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

89% confidence

Wolves 89.4% Draw 6.9% Cardiff 3.7%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

89%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Wolves: 13 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Wolves

W W D L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

Cardiff

W D W L W L

Form 3-1-2 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wolves win89.4%

Draw6.9%

Cardiff win3.7%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.9%

Over 3.5 goals79.3%

Both teams to score65.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.6%

Home or Away (12)

90.0%

Home Over 1.5

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home95.8%

Home or Draw (1X)92.4%

Home or Away (12)90.0%

Both Halves Over 0.587.3%

Goal in Both Halves87.3%

Home Win86.2%

Draw or Away (X2)10.0%

Draw6.2%

Draw No Bet - Away4.2%

Away Win3.8%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.8%

Over 1.5 Goals93.6%

Over 2.5 Goals87.5%

Over 3.5 Goals76.2%

4+ Goals76.2%

Over 4.5 Goals60.7%

Under 5.5 Goals56.4%

Total Goals Even48.2%

Total Goals Odd48.0%

Over 5.5 Goals43.6%

Under 4.5 Goals39.3%

2-4 Goals32.8%

3-4 Goals26.7%

Under 3.5 Goals23.8%

1-3 Goals19.5%

2-3 Goals17.3%

Under 2.5 Goals12.5%

Exactly 3 Goals11.2%

1-2 Goals8.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.4%

Exactly 2 Goals6.1%

Under 0.5 Goals4.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.0%

Away Team to Score63.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.8%

Home Clean Sheet33.2%

Home Win to Nil32.8%

Away Clean Sheet1.2%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.0%

Home Over 1.589.8%

Home Over 2.578.3%

Home 3+ Goals78.3%

Away Over 0.563.0%

Away Exactly 135.3%

Away Exactly 033.2%

Away Over 1.527.7%

Away Exactly 218.8%

Home Exactly 211.5%

Away Over 2.58.9%

Away 3+ Goals8.9%

Home Exactly 15.2%

Home Exactly 01.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)86.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)82.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home75.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away69.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home59.7%

Home to win by 3+59.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)53.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away53.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home42.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)36.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away36.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home26.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away21.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.4%

Home to win by 215.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home14.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.0%

Home to win by 111.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away10.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 12.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.580.4%

BTTS & Over 2.560.3%

Home & BTTS53.4%

Home & No BTTS32.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.527.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.56.8%

Home & Under 2.55.8%

Draw & BTTS5.8%

Draw & Over 2.53.9%

Away & Over 2.53.2%

Away & BTTS3.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.6%

HT Home Win73.7%

HT/FT Home/Home71.5%

HT Over 1.570.9%

2nd Half More Goals50.5%

HT Both Teams Score32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.529.1%

HT Draw18.5%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT Under 0.58.4%

HT Away Win7.8%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Away/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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