England · League Cup

Wolves vs Port Vale

Kick-off 19:45 · Fri, Aug 7

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

42% confidence

Wolves 42.0% Draw 28.0% Port Vale 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High xG values

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

75%

Home or Draw (1X)

Wolves home advantage

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Wolves have a slight form gap over Port Vale, with Raul Jimenez's return boosting their attacking threat. However, Port Vale's Mo Faal can make an impact. Wolves' home advantage is significant, but Port Vale can still score. With both teams capable of scoring, the match is likely to be open. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high expected goals from both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 75.7% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High xG values

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

75.7%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Wolves high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Wolves

D D L D L L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 3:10 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.67

Port Vale

No recent results stored yet

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wolves win42.0%

Draw28.0%

Port Vale win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals75.7%

Over 2.5 goals50.6%

Over 3.5 goals27.3%

Both teams to score56.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

87.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

84.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

84.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)73.9%

Home or Draw (1X)65.1%

Draw or Away (X2)61.0%

Both Halves Over 0.553.3%

Goal in Both Halves53.3%

Draw No Bet - Home52.8%

Draw No Bet - Away47.2%

Home Win39.0%

Away Win34.8%

Draw26.1%

Exactly 1 Goal18.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.8%

Over 0.5 Goals92.9%

Under 4.5 Goals87.1%

Over 1.5 Goals74.1%

Under 3.5 Goals72.7%

1-3 Goals65.6%

2-4 Goals61.2%

Under 2.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals49.2%

2-3 Goals46.7%

1-2 Goals43.7%

3-4 Goals36.3%

Over 3.5 Goals27.3%

4+ Goals27.3%

Under 1.5 Goals25.9%

Exactly 2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Over 4.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals7.1%

Exactly 0 Goals7.1%

Over 5.5 Goals5.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score74.5%

Away Team to Score72.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)53.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)46.3%

Home Clean Sheet27.9%

Away Clean Sheet25.5%

Home Win to Nil20.8%

Away Win to Nil18.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.574.5%

Away Over 0.572.1%

Home Over 1.539.6%

Away Over 1.536.5%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Home Exactly 134.8%

Away Exactly 027.9%

Home Exactly 025.5%

Home Exactly 223.8%

Away Exactly 222.7%

Home Over 2.515.8%

Home 3+ Goals15.8%

Away Over 2.513.7%

Away 3+ Goals13.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)82.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away82.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 121.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.7%

Away to win by 119.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.5%

Home to win by 211.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.0%

Away to win by 210.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.5%

Home to win by 3+6.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.2%

Away to win by 3+5.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.541.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.538.4%

Home & Over 2.522.7%

Home & No BTTS20.8%

Away & Over 2.520.0%

Draw & Under 2.519.5%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Away & No BTTS18.4%

Home & BTTS18.2%

Away & BTTS16.5%

Home & Under 2.516.4%

Away & Under 2.514.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.5%

HT Under 1.566.7%

2nd Half More Goals43.2%

HT Draw42.2%

HT Over 1.533.3%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.5%

HT Home Win30.2%

HT Away Win27.6%

Equal Goals Each Half25.9%

HT/FT Home/Home23.0%

HT/FT Away/Away20.2%

HT Both Teams Score20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Wolves win50%

Draw50%

Port Vale win0%

AdviceDouble chance : Wolves or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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