England · Championship

Wolves vs Portsmouth

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Oct 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Wolves 70.8% Draw 17.7% Portsmouth 11.5%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Wolves: 13 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Wolves

W W D L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

Portsmouth

W W L D D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wolves win70.8%

Draw17.7%

Portsmouth win11.5%

Over 1.5 goals88.9%

Over 2.5 goals70.7%

Over 3.5 goals49.6%

Both teams to score60.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

87.8%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.5%

Draw No Bet - Home85.3%

Home or Away (12)84.0%

Home Win71.6%

Both Halves Over 0.569.9%

Goal in Both Halves69.9%

Draw or Away (X2)28.2%

Draw15.9%

Draw No Bet - Away14.7%

Away Win12.3%

Exactly 1 Goal9.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.8%

Under 5.5 Goals83.8%

Over 2.5 Goals70.6%

Under 4.5 Goals69.7%

2-4 Goals57.5%

Under 3.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.5%

4+ Goals49.5%

1-3 Goals47.7%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.3%

Over 4.5 Goals30.3%

Under 2.5 Goals29.4%

1-2 Goals26.7%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals16.2%

Under 1.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.7%

Away Team to Score63.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)40.7%

Home Clean Sheet35.9%

Home Win to Nil33.4%

Away Clean Sheet7.2%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.7%

Home Over 1.573.8%

Away Over 0.563.9%

Home Over 2.548.9%

Home 3+ Goals48.9%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 035.9%

Away Over 1.527.2%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Exactly 118.9%

Away Exactly 218.8%

Away Over 2.58.4%

Away 3+ Goals8.4%

Home Exactly 07.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.3%

Home to win by 3+30.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 121.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 18.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.9%

BTTS & Over 2.552.4%

Home & BTTS38.3%

Home & No BTTS33.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.2%

Home & Under 2.515.8%

Draw & BTTS13.3%

Draw & Under 2.59.5%

Away & Over 2.58.4%

Away & BTTS7.8%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.7%

HT Home Win54.3%

HT Under 1.551.0%

HT/FT Home/Home49.5%

HT Over 1.549.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw31.3%

HT Both Teams Score25.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Away Win14.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Away/Away6.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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