England · Championship

Wolves vs West Brom

Kick-off 12:00 · Sun, Sep 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Wolves 75.0% Draw 12.1% West Brom 12.9%

Over 2.5 - 94% BTTS - 84%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

88%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

84%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 5.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Wolves: 13 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.5%

Exact-score model probability

Wolves

W D L W W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 14:8 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.33

West Brom

D W W D L L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:8 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wolves win75.0%

Draw12.1%

West Brom win12.9%

Over 1.5 goals98.5%

Over 2.5 goals93.9%

Over 3.5 goals84.9%

Both teams to score84.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.590.1%

Goal in Both Halves90.1%

Home or Away (12)86.1%

Draw No Bet - Home85.1%

Home or Draw (1X)84.6%

Home Win73.3%

Draw or Away (X2)24.2%

Draw No Bet - Away14.9%

Away Win12.8%

Draw11.3%

Exactly 1 Goal1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals91.4%

Over 3.5 Goals82.7%

4+ Goals82.7%

Over 4.5 Goals69.5%

Over 5.5 Goals53.6%

Total Goals Odd48.7%

Total Goals Even48.7%

Under 5.5 Goals46.4%

Under 4.5 Goals30.5%

2-4 Goals26.2%

3-4 Goals21.9%

Under 3.5 Goals17.3%

1-3 Goals14.5%

2-3 Goals13.0%

Exactly 3 Goals8.7%

Under 2.5 Goals8.6%

1-2 Goals5.8%

Exactly 2 Goals4.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.8%

Away Team to Score83.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.3%

Home Clean Sheet14.3%

Home Win to Nil14.1%

Away Clean Sheet1.6%

Away Win to Nil1.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.8%

Home Over 1.589.2%

Away Over 0.583.1%

Home Over 2.575.5%

Home 3+ Goals75.5%

Away Over 1.555.6%

Away Over 2.529.3%

Away 3+ Goals29.3%

Away Exactly 127.5%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 014.3%

Home Exactly 213.7%

Home Exactly 16.6%

Home Exactly 01.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.7%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)84.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home84.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away82.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)71.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away71.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)58.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home58.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)55.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away55.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)41.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home41.7%

Home to win by 3+41.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)26.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home26.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.1%

Home to win by 115.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.0%

Away to win by 17.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 23.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.3%

Away to win by 3+2.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.579.8%

Home & Over 2.570.3%

Home & BTTS59.2%

Home & No BTTS14.1%

Away & Over 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.6%

Away & BTTS11.5%

Draw & BTTS11.1%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Home & Under 2.53.0%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS1.4%

Away & Under 2.50.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.593.4%

HT Over 1.575.5%

HT Home Win60.9%

HT/FT Home/Home55.5%

2nd Half More Goals51.4%

HT Both Teams Score48.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.524.5%

HT Draw22.2%

HT Away Win16.9%

Equal Goals Each Half16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT/FT Away/Away7.5%

HT Under 0.56.6%

HT/FT Away/Home5.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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