England · Championship

Wrexham vs Middlesbrough

Kick-off 20:45 · Wed, Nov 4

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Wrexham 42.3% Draw 17.7% Middlesbrough 40.0%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 90%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

90%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

82%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Middlesbrough: 7 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Wrexham

L L W L D W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Middlesbrough

W W D W D D

Form 3-3-0 Goals 17:9 Scored/game 2.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 2

Wrexham 0wins ·1 draws ·Middlesbrough 1wins

Wrexham 0-1 MiddlesbroughAug 7, 2026

Wrexham 2-2 MiddlesbroughMay 2, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wrexham win42.3%

Draw17.7%

Middlesbrough win40.0%

Over 1.5 goals98.3%

Over 2.5 goals93.0%

Over 3.5 goals83.2%

Both teams to score89.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.8%

Away Over 0.5

90.8%

Home Team to Score

89.5%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.0%

Goal in Both Halves81.0%

Home or Away (12)80.8%

Draw or Away (X2)61.7%

Home or Draw (1X)57.2%

Draw No Bet - Away52.8%

Draw No Bet - Home47.2%

Away Win42.7%

Home Win38.1%

Draw19.0%

Exactly 1 Goal4.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.9%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals84.3%

Over 3.5 Goals68.3%

4+ Goals68.3%

Under 5.5 Goals67.6%

Under 4.5 Goals50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals49.8%

2-4 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals34.5%

Over 5.5 Goals32.4%

Under 3.5 Goals31.7%

1-3 Goals30.6%

2-3 Goals26.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.9%

Under 2.5 Goals15.7%

1-2 Goals14.6%

Exactly 2 Goals10.2%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals1.1%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.8%

Home Team to Score89.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)81.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)18.6%

Away Clean Sheet10.3%

Away Win to Nil9.4%

Home Clean Sheet9.1%

Home Win to Nil8.2%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.8%

Home Over 0.589.5%

Away Over 1.569.0%

Home Over 1.566.1%

Away Over 2.542.8%

Away 3+ Goals42.8%

Home Over 2.539.5%

Home 3+ Goals39.5%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Home Exactly 123.4%

Away Exactly 121.8%

Home Exactly 010.3%

Away Exactly 09.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)86.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home86.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.3%

Away to win by 117.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 116.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away12.9%

Away to win by 3+12.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 212.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.2%

Home to win by 211.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.6%

Home to win by 3+10.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.576.3%

Away & Over 2.537.7%

Home & Over 2.533.6%

Away & BTTS33.3%

Home & BTTS30.0%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Draw & Over 2.513.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.5%

Away & No BTTS9.4%

Home & No BTTS8.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Draw & Under 2.56.1%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Away & Under 2.55.0%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.587.8%

HT Over 1.562.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.0%

HT Both Teams Score42.2%

HT Under 1.538.0%

HT Away Win36.5%

HT Home Win33.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw29.9%

HT/FT Away/Away27.1%

HT/FT Home/Home23.8%

Equal Goals Each Half18.7%

HT Under 0.512.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.2%

HT/FT Away/Home3.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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