England · Championship

Wrexham vs Preston

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

75% confidence

Wrexham 75.4% Draw 15.1% Preston 9.5%

Over 2.5 - 77% BTTS - 62%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

91%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Wrexham: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.3%

Exact-score model probability

Wrexham

L D W L D D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Preston

L L D L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wrexham win75.4%

Draw15.1%

Preston win9.5%

Over 1.5 goals91.7%

Over 2.5 goals76.5%

Over 3.5 goals57.0%

Both teams to score62.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

90.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)89.4%

Draw No Bet - Home88.1%

Home or Away (12)86.1%

Home Win75.9%

Both Halves Over 0.574.5%

Goal in Both Halves74.5%

Draw or Away (X2)23.8%

Draw13.6%

Draw No Bet - Away11.9%

Away Win10.2%

Exactly 1 Goal7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals90.7%

Under 5.5 Goals78.5%

Over 2.5 Goals76.2%

Under 4.5 Goals62.7%

Over 3.5 Goals56.8%

4+ Goals56.8%

2-4 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Under 3.5 Goals43.2%

1-3 Goals41.1%

3-4 Goals38.9%

Over 4.5 Goals37.3%

2-3 Goals33.9%

Under 2.5 Goals23.8%

1-2 Goals21.6%

Over 5.5 Goals21.5%

Exactly 3 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals14.5%

Under 1.5 Goals9.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.5%

Away Team to Score64.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)61.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)38.5%

Home Clean Sheet34.9%

Home Win to Nil33.1%

Away Clean Sheet5.1%

Away Win to Nil3.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.5%

Home Over 1.579.4%

Away Over 0.564.8%

Home Over 2.556.8%

Home 3+ Goals56.8%

Away Exactly 136.6%

Away Exactly 034.9%

Away Over 1.528.2%

Home Exactly 222.6%

Away Exactly 219.2%

Home Exactly 115.2%

Away Over 2.58.9%

Away 3+ Goals8.9%

Home Exactly 05.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)79.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away79.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)75.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)63.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away63.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away43.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)36.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home36.5%

Home to win by 3+36.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away23.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home20.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.3%

Home to win by 119.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.8%

Away to win by 16.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.7%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.5%

Away to win by 22.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.562.6%

BTTS & Over 2.555.9%

Home & BTTS42.8%

Home & No BTTS33.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.520.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.517.9%

Home & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS11.8%

Draw & Under 2.57.4%

Away & Over 2.57.4%

Away & BTTS6.9%

Draw & Over 2.56.2%

BTTS & Under 2.55.6%

Away & No BTTS3.3%

Away & Under 2.52.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.7%

HT Home Win58.5%

HT/FT Home/Home54.2%

HT Over 1.554.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.6%

HT Under 1.545.9%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw28.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.0%

HT Under 0.516.3%

HT Away Win13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.8%

HT/FT Away/Away5.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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