England · Championship

Wrexham vs Southampton

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

60% confidence

Wrexham 19.8% Draw 19.9% Southampton 60.3%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Southampton: 6 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Wrexham

L D D W L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Southampton

W W D D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 15:9 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wrexham win19.8%

Draw19.9%

Southampton win60.3%

Over 1.5 goals91.8%

Over 2.5 goals76.4%

Over 3.5 goals56.9%

Both teams to score71.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

90.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Draw or Away (X2)79.2%

Draw No Bet - Away74.7%

Both Halves Over 0.574.4%

Goal in Both Halves74.4%

Away Win61.1%

Home or Draw (1X)38.8%

Draw No Bet - Home25.3%

Home Win20.6%

Draw18.1%

Exactly 1 Goal7.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.1%

Over 1.5 Goals90.8%

Under 5.5 Goals78.4%

Over 2.5 Goals76.3%

Under 4.5 Goals62.7%

Over 3.5 Goals56.8%

4+ Goals56.8%

2-4 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals43.2%

1-3 Goals41.2%

3-4 Goals39.0%

Over 4.5 Goals37.3%

2-3 Goals34.0%

Under 2.5 Goals23.7%

1-2 Goals21.8%

Over 5.5 Goals21.6%

Exactly 3 Goals19.5%

Exactly 2 Goals14.5%

Under 1.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals1.9%

Exactly 0 Goals1.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.1%

Home Team to Score76.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.3%

Away Clean Sheet23.2%

Away Win to Nil21.4%

Home Clean Sheet7.8%

Home Win to Nil6.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.1%

Home Over 0.576.7%

Away Over 1.572.3%

Away Over 2.546.9%

Away 3+ Goals46.9%

Home Over 1.542.8%

Home Exactly 133.9%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Home Exactly 224.7%

Home Exactly 023.2%

Away Exactly 119.8%

Home Over 2.518.1%

Home 3+ Goals18.1%

Away Exactly 07.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away79.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)61.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)59.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home59.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away40.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home38.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away22.9%

Away to win by 3+22.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.6%

Away to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw17.6%

Away to win by 217.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw11.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.8%

Home to win by 111.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw5.8%

Home to win by 25.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.1%

Home to win by 3+3.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.564.0%

Away & Over 2.550.6%

Away & BTTS39.7%

Away & No BTTS21.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.8%

Draw & BTTS16.3%

Home & Over 2.516.1%

Home & BTTS14.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.3%

Away & Under 2.510.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

Draw & Under 2.58.5%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Home & No BTTS6.0%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.583.6%

HT Over 1.553.9%

HT Away Win47.6%

2nd Half More Goals47.5%

HT Under 1.546.1%

HT/FT Away/Away40.8%

HT Both Teams Score32.9%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.4%

HT Home Win21.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.3%

HT Under 0.516.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.1%

HT/FT Home/Home11.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away4.4%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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