England · Championship

Wrexham vs West Brom

Kick-off 19:45 · Tue, Oct 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

45% confidence

Wrexham 45.2% Draw 24.3% West Brom 30.5%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Wrexham: 9 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

Wrexham

D W L D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

West Brom

L L D W W D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 4:4 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wrexham win45.2%

Draw24.3%

West Brom win30.5%

Over 1.5 goals87.6%

Over 2.5 goals68.0%

Over 3.5 goals46.4%

Both teams to score68.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.1%

Home or Draw (1X)68.3%

Both Halves Over 0.567.8%

Goal in Both Halves67.8%

Draw No Bet - Home59.4%

Draw or Away (X2)53.6%

Home Win46.4%

Draw No Bet - Away40.6%

Away Win31.7%

Draw21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal10.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.0%

Over 1.5 Goals86.4%

Under 5.5 Goals85.7%

Under 4.5 Goals72.5%

Over 2.5 Goals68.0%

2-4 Goals58.9%

Under 3.5 Goals53.6%

1-3 Goals50.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.4%

4+ Goals46.4%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.0%

Under 2.5 Goals32.0%

1-2 Goals29.0%

Over 4.5 Goals27.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.5%

Over 5.5 Goals14.3%

Under 1.5 Goals13.6%

Under 0.5 Goals3.0%

Exactly 0 Goals3.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.5%

Away Team to Score79.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.3%

Home Clean Sheet20.8%

Home Win to Nil17.8%

Away Clean Sheet14.5%

Away Win to Nil11.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.5%

Away Over 0.579.2%

Home Over 1.557.5%

Away Over 1.546.6%

Away Exactly 132.6%

Home Over 2.530.5%

Home 3+ Goals30.5%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 225.6%

Away Over 2.520.9%

Away 3+ Goals20.9%

Away Exactly 020.8%

Home Exactly 014.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)84.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home84.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)68.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home68.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)31.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.4%

Home to win by 120.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away15.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 214.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.0%

Home to win by 3+12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.2%

Away to win by 29.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.8%

Away to win by 3+5.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.6%

Home & Over 2.534.9%

Home & BTTS28.6%

Away & Over 2.523.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.9%

Away & BTTS20.2%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Home & No BTTS17.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.1%

Away & No BTTS11.5%

Home & Under 2.511.4%

Draw & Over 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Away & Under 2.58.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.3%

HT Under 1.553.2%

HT Over 1.546.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.2%

HT Home Win36.9%

HT Draw35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score29.5%

HT/FT Home/Home28.9%

HT Away Win27.6%

Equal Goals Each Half21.9%

HT Under 0.520.7%

HT/FT Away/Away18.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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