England · Championship

Wrexham vs Wolves

Kick-off 13:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Wrexham 40.6% Draw 20.1% Wolves 39.3%

Over 2.5 - 85% BTTS - 83%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

83%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

80%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Wolves: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.9%

Exact-score model probability

Wrexham

W L L W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Wolves

W W D L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:7 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Wrexham win40.6%

Draw20.1%

Wolves win39.3%

Over 1.5 goals95.7%

Over 2.5 goals85.3%

Over 3.5 goals69.9%

Both teams to score82.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.7%

Home Over 0.5

90.7%

Away Team to Score

90.4%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.581.8%

Goal in Both Halves81.8%

Home or Away (12)81.0%

Home or Draw (1X)60.0%

Draw or Away (X2)58.7%

Draw No Bet - Home50.8%

Draw No Bet - Away49.2%

Home Win41.1%

Away Win39.8%

Draw18.8%

Exactly 1 Goal4.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals85.2%

Over 3.5 Goals69.8%

4+ Goals69.8%

Under 5.5 Goals66.0%

Over 4.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals48.6%

2-4 Goals43.5%

Over 5.5 Goals34.0%

3-4 Goals33.7%

Under 3.5 Goals30.2%

1-3 Goals29.2%

2-3 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals15.4%

Under 2.5 Goals14.8%

1-2 Goals13.8%

Exactly 2 Goals9.7%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.7%

Away Team to Score90.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.8%

Home Clean Sheet9.4%

Away Clean Sheet9.1%

Home Win to Nil8.6%

Away Win to Nil8.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.7%

Away Over 0.590.4%

Home Over 1.569.0%

Away Over 1.568.1%

Home Over 2.542.8%

Home 3+ Goals42.8%

Away Over 2.541.9%

Away 3+ Goals41.9%

Away Exactly 226.3%

Home Exactly 226.1%

Away Exactly 122.3%

Home Exactly 121.8%

Away Exactly 09.4%

Home Exactly 09.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home94.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home60.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)39.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home24.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.9%

Home to win by 116.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.6%

Away to win by 116.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.3%

Home to win by 3+12.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.0%

Home to win by 212.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw11.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.6%

Away to win by 211.6%

Away to win by 3+11.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)5.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home5.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.3%

Home & Over 2.536.6%

Away & Over 2.535.4%

Home & BTTS32.6%

Away & BTTS31.6%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Draw & Over 2.513.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.8%

Home & No BTTS8.6%

Away & No BTTS8.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.9%

Home & Under 2.54.5%

Away & Under 2.54.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.2%

HT Over 1.563.1%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Both Teams Score43.2%

HT Under 1.536.9%

HT Home Win35.6%

HT Away Win34.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw29.6%

HT/FT Home/Home26.0%

HT/FT Away/Away25.1%

Equal Goals Each Half18.5%

HT Under 0.511.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions