Spain · Copa del Rey

Xerez vs Cadiz

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Oct 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

Xerez 84.6% Draw 11.2% Cadiz 4.2%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 47%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

1X · Home or Draw covers 95.8% of the model's 1X2 probability, leaving 4.2% on the only losing outcome.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

1X · Home or Draw

95.8%

Two outcomes covered by the model

Loss probability

4.2%

Only the uncovered result loses

Xerez

No recent results stored yet

Cadiz

L D W W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 4:10 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Xerez win84.6%

Draw11.2%

Cadiz win4.2%

Over 1.5 goals89.8%

Over 2.5 goals72.9%

Over 3.5 goals52.3%

Both teams to score46.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

89.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

85.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)94.7%

Draw No Bet - Home94.7%

Home or Away (12)89.6%

Home Win84.8%

Both Halves Over 0.571.7%

Goal in Both Halves71.7%

Draw or Away (X2)14.7%

Draw9.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.5%

Draw No Bet - Away5.3%

Away Win4.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals88.7%

Under 5.5 Goals82.1%

Over 2.5 Goals72.6%

Under 4.5 Goals67.3%

2-4 Goals56.1%

Over 3.5 Goals52.1%

4+ Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals47.9%

1-3 Goals45.2%

3-4 Goals39.9%

2-3 Goals36.6%

Over 4.5 Goals32.7%

Under 2.5 Goals27.4%

1-2 Goals24.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals17.9%

Exactly 2 Goals16.2%

Under 1.5 Goals11.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)54.0%

Home Clean Sheet51.4%

Home Win to Nil49.2%

Away Team to Score48.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.0%

Away Clean Sheet4.3%

Away Win to Nil2.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.2%

Home Over 1.581.5%

Home Over 2.560.2%

Home 3+ Goals60.2%

Away Exactly 051.4%

Away Over 0.548.1%

Away Exactly 133.9%

Home Exactly 221.4%

Away Over 1.514.1%

Home Exactly 113.6%

Away Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 04.3%

Away Over 2.52.9%

Away 3+ Goals2.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away85.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away71.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away53.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)46.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home46.5%

Home to win by 3+46.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)32.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away32.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)27.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home27.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 220.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 117.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home14.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw13.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)6.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home6.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.6%

Away to win by 13.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.9%

Away to win by 20.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.566.7%

Home & No BTTS49.2%

BTTS & Over 2.541.3%

Home & BTTS35.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.531.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.3%

Home & Under 2.518.1%

Draw & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Under 2.56.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Over 2.53.0%

Away & Over 2.52.8%

Away & BTTS2.7%

Away & No BTTS2.1%

Away & Under 2.52.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.9%

HT Home Win65.9%

HT/FT Home/Home63.4%

HT Over 1.550.9%

HT Under 1.549.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.0%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Draw26.5%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT Both Teams Score19.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.9%

HT Under 0.518.1%

HT Away Win7.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.0%

HT/FT Away/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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