Russia · Premier League

Zenit vs Lokomotiv

Kick-off 14:15 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

Zenit 90.4% Draw 6.8% Lokomotiv 2.8%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 54%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

90%

Draw No Bet - Home

DNB home — draw refunds stake

90%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Zenit: 15 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Zenit

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 15:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.5

Lokomotiv

D D L D L W

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Zenit win90.4%

Draw6.8%

Lokomotiv win2.8%

Over 1.5 goals95.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.4%

Over 3.5 goals71.5%

Both teams to score54.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

91.5%

Home Over 1.5

89.1%

HT Over 0.5

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.7%

Home or Draw (1X)94.5%

Home or Away (12)91.5%

Home Win88.5%

Both Halves Over 0.583.0%

Goal in Both Halves83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)9.0%

Draw6.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Draw No Bet - Away3.3%

Away Win3.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.8%

Over 1.5 Goals93.1%

Over 2.5 Goals84.2%

Over 3.5 Goals69.7%

4+ Goals69.7%

Under 5.5 Goals65.7%

Over 4.5 Goals51.8%

Total Goals Even48.9%

Total Goals Odd48.6%

Under 4.5 Goals48.2%

2-4 Goals41.3%

Over 5.5 Goals34.3%

3-4 Goals32.4%

Under 3.5 Goals30.3%

1-3 Goals27.1%

2-3 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals15.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals12.5%

Exactly 2 Goals8.9%

Under 1.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals3.2%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score53.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)52.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)47.4%

Home Clean Sheet44.0%

Home Win to Nil43.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.6%

Away Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.589.1%

Home Over 2.575.3%

Home 3+ Goals75.3%

Away Over 0.553.5%

Away Exactly 044.0%

Away Exactly 135.0%

Away Over 1.518.5%

Away Exactly 213.9%

Home Exactly 213.8%

Home Exactly 16.7%

Away Over 2.54.6%

Away 3+ Goals4.6%

Home Exactly 01.6%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.5%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home94.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)88.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)84.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home76.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)71.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away71.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home60.3%

Home to win by 3+60.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)55.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away55.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)42.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home42.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away37.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home25.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)20.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away20.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.5%

Home to win by 216.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.6%

Home to win by 111.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.2%

Away to win by 12.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.2%

BTTS & Over 2.550.2%

Home & BTTS45.2%

Home & No BTTS43.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.534.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.8%

Home & Under 2.59.3%

Draw & BTTS5.3%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

Draw & Over 2.52.9%

BTTS & Under 2.52.4%

Away & Over 2.52.2%

Away & BTTS2.1%

Away & No BTTS0.9%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.0%

HT Home Win74.0%

HT/FT Home/Home72.2%

HT Over 1.564.7%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.3%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

HT Draw19.6%

Equal Goals Each Half18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.5%

HT Under 0.511.0%

HT Away Win6.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Away1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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