Russia · Premier League

Zenit vs Rodina Moskva

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

Zenit 96.1% Draw 3.3% Rodina Moskva 0.6%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 33%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 83%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 12.7%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.7%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

83%

Market agrees with this pick

Zenit

W W W W W

Form 5-0-0 Goals 14:2 Scored/game 2.8 Conceded/game 0.4

Rodina Moskva

L L

Form 0-0-2 Goals 2:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 3.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Zenit win96.1%

Draw3.3%

Rodina Moskva win0.6%

Over 1.5 goals95.6%

Over 2.5 goals86.1%

Over 3.5 goals70.9%

Both teams to score32.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.6%

Home Over 1.5

89.9%

HT Over 0.5

88.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home99.2%

Home or Draw (1X)95.2%

Home or Away (12)93.2%

Home Win92.4%

Both Halves Over 0.583.0%

Goal in Both Halves83.0%

Draw or Away (X2)3.6%

Exactly 1 Goal3.6%

Draw2.8%

Away Win0.8%

Draw No Bet - Away0.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.6%

Over 2.5 Goals82.6%

Over 3.5 Goals68.0%

4+ Goals68.0%

Under 5.5 Goals67.4%

Over 4.5 Goals50.2%

Under 4.5 Goals49.8%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Total Goals Odd47.6%

2-4 Goals41.4%

Over 5.5 Goals32.6%

3-4 Goals32.5%

Under 3.5 Goals32.0%

1-3 Goals27.2%

2-3 Goals23.5%

Under 2.5 Goals17.4%

Exactly 3 Goals14.6%

1-2 Goals12.6%

Exactly 2 Goals8.9%

Under 1.5 Goals8.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.8%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)68.7%

Home Clean Sheet64.3%

Home Win to Nil63.6%

Away Team to Score31.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 064.3%

Away Over 0.531.6%

Away Exactly 125.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 1.55.9%

Away Exactly 25.1%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)92.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home85.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)75.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)71.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home71.7%

Home to win by 3+71.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)59.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away59.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)54.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home54.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away41.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)36.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home36.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away24.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home20.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw18.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw15.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.2%

Home to win by 213.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away11.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.4%

Home to win by 17.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away3.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.7%

Away to win by 10.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 20.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.5%

Home & No BTTS63.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.552.7%

BTTS & Over 2.529.9%

Home & BTTS28.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

Home & Under 2.510.9%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

Draw & BTTS2.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.3%

Draw & Over 2.50.7%

Away & Over 2.50.4%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Away & BTTS0.4%

Away & No BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.9%

HT Home Win82.0%

HT/FT Home/Home81.3%

HT Over 1.564.6%

2nd Half More Goals49.4%

HT Under 1.535.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.2%

HT Draw15.4%

HT Both Teams Score14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT Under 0.511.1%

HT Away Win2.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.6%

HT/FT Away/Away0.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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