Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi

Kick-off 17:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Zulte Waregem 40.9% Draw 29.0% Charleroi 30.1%

Over 2.5 - 32% BTTS - 40%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

60%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 12.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Zulte Waregem: 16 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.6%

Exact-score model probability

Zulte Waregem

D W W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 13:4 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Charleroi

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 5

Zulte Waregem 2wins ·0 draws ·Charleroi 3wins

Zulte Waregem 1-0 CharleroiMar 22, 2026

Zulte Waregem 2-1 CharleroiSep 20, 2025

Zulte Waregem 2-3 CharleroiApr 8, 2023

Zulte Waregem 1-3 CharleroiAug 21, 2022

Zulte Waregem 0-3 CharleroiApr 10, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

Zulte Waregem win40.9%

Draw29.0%

Charleroi win30.1%

Over 1.5 goals72.9%

Over 2.5 goals31.7%

Over 3.5 goals24.7%

Both teams to score39.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

91.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)74.5%

Home or Away (12)73.6%

Draw No Bet - Away65.4%

Home or Draw (1X)51.8%

Both Halves Over 0.549.5%

Goal in Both Halves49.5%

Away Win48.2%

Draw No Bet - Home34.6%

Draw26.4%

Home Win25.5%

Exactly 1 Goal21.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.1%

Over 0.5 Goals91.4%

Under 4.5 Goals89.8%

Under 3.5 Goals76.8%

Over 1.5 Goals70.2%

1-3 Goals68.2%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 2.5 Goals55.6%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.0%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals44.4%

3-4 Goals34.1%

Under 1.5 Goals29.8%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.2%

4+ Goals23.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Over 4.5 Goals10.2%

Under 0.5 Goals8.6%

Exactly 0 Goals8.6%

Over 5.5 Goals3.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score76.9%

Home Team to Score62.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)51.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)48.2%

Away Clean Sheet37.3%

Away Win to Nil28.6%

Home Clean Sheet23.1%

Home Win to Nil14.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.576.9%

Home Over 0.562.7%

Away Over 1.543.0%

Home Exactly 037.3%

Home Exactly 136.8%

Away Exactly 133.9%

Home Over 1.525.9%

Away Exactly 224.8%

Away Exactly 023.1%

Away Over 2.518.2%

Home Exactly 218.2%

Away 3+ Goals18.2%

Home Over 2.57.8%

Home 3+ Goals7.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home76.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)51.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home51.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.2%

Away to win by 124.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)23.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away23.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 116.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.6%

Away to win by 214.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.4%

Away to win by 3+9.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.6%

Home to win by 26.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.5%

Home to win by 3+2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.543.2%

BTTS & Over 2.535.8%

Away & No BTTS28.6%

Away & Over 2.526.3%

Away & Under 2.521.9%

Draw & Under 2.521.1%

Away & BTTS19.5%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Home & No BTTS14.5%

Home & Over 2.512.8%

Home & Under 2.512.7%

BTTS & Under 2.512.5%

Home & BTTS11.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.6%

Draw & Over 2.55.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.569.8%

HT Over 0.566.8%

HT Draw43.6%

2nd Half More Goals42.3%

HT Away Win35.2%

HT Under 0.533.2%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.2%

HT/FT Away/Away29.0%

Equal Goals Each Half27.1%

HT Home Win21.2%

HT Both Teams Score17.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.9%

HT/FT Home/Home14.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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