Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

Zulte Waregem vs Gent

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Oct 10

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

42% confidence

Zulte Waregem 42.1% Draw 27.9% Gent 30.0%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Zulte Waregem: 16 points versus 14 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Zulte Waregem

D W W W W W

Form 5-1-0 Goals 13:4 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Gent

W D W D W W

Form 4-2-0 Goals 8:3 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.5

Head to head · last 5

Zulte Waregem 1wins ·0 draws ·Gent 4wins

Zulte Waregem 0-2 GentMar 13, 2026

Zulte Waregem 4-1 GentOct 19, 2025

Zulte Waregem 2-6 GentMar 12, 2023

Zulte Waregem 0-2 GentSep 11, 2022

Zulte Waregem 1-2 GentMar 6, 2022

📈 Probability Breakdown

Zulte Waregem win42.1%

Draw27.9%

Gent win30.0%

Over 1.5 goals76.6%

Over 2.5 goals69.4%

Over 3.5 goals28.9%

Both teams to score45.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

92.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

92.0%

Home Team to Score

90.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.0%

Home or Draw (1X)80.2%

Draw No Bet - Home75.7%

Both Halves Over 0.570.1%

Goal in Both Halves70.1%

Home Win61.3%

Draw or Away (X2)38.6%

Draw No Bet - Away24.3%

Away Win19.7%

Draw18.9%

Exactly 1 Goal9.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.4%

Over 1.5 Goals88.0%

Under 5.5 Goals83.5%

Over 2.5 Goals70.9%

Under 4.5 Goals69.3%

2-4 Goals57.4%

Under 3.5 Goals50.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

4+ Goals49.9%

1-3 Goals47.4%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals38.1%

Over 4.5 Goals30.7%

Under 2.5 Goals29.1%

1-2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals16.5%

Under 1.5 Goals12.0%

Under 0.5 Goals2.6%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.6%

Away Team to Score72.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.2%

Home Clean Sheet27.3%

Home Win to Nil24.8%

Away Clean Sheet9.3%

Away Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.6%

Away Over 0.572.6%

Home Over 1.568.6%

Home Over 2.542.3%

Home 3+ Goals42.3%

Away Over 1.537.1%

Away Exactly 135.4%

Away Exactly 027.3%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Home Exactly 122.1%

Away Over 2.514.2%

Away 3+ Goals14.2%

Home Exactly 09.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)89.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away89.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.7%

Home to win by 3+21.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.5%

Home to win by 121.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.7%

Away to win by 111.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)10.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home10.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 25.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.0%

Home & Over 2.548.1%

Home & BTTS36.5%

Home & No BTTS24.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.2%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Away & Over 2.514.3%

Home & Under 2.513.2%

Away & BTTS13.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.8%

Away & No BTTS6.7%

Away & Under 2.55.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.8%

HT Under 1.550.8%

HT Over 1.549.2%

HT Home Win47.0%

2nd Half More Goals46.7%

HT/FT Home/Home40.6%

HT Draw33.1%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score29.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Away Win19.9%

HT Under 0.519.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT/FT Away/Away11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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