⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed

Brazil · Serie A FT 1–0

Remo

1:0

Sao Paulo

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

❌ Lost

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

95%

BTTS

89%

AI Analysis

Remo has a strong home record with 1.75 goals scored per game. Sao Paulo concedes 2 goals per game. With both teams scoring in their last 4 matches, a high scoring game is expected. Remo's home advantage gives them an edge. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 89% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Remo: 7 points versus 2 across the last 4 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.25 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

89%

Both teams to score

Remo BTTS

100%

Across recent matches

Sao Paulo BTTS

100%

Across recent matches

Remo

L W D W

Form 2-1-1 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.75 Conceded/game 1.5

Sao Paulo

D L L D

Form 0-2-2 Goals 6:8 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2

📊 Poisson model: 99% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #2 ✅ AI Analysed

Brazil · Serie A FT 1–1

Cruzeiro

1:1

Fluminense

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

✅ Won

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

89%

Over 2.5

71%

BTTS

70%

AI Analysis

Cruzeiro has a slight edge in form, with 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Fluminense's away form is a concern, with 0 goals scored in their last 2 away matches. Cruzeiro's attacking threat, led by their home scoring rate, is a key factor. The absence of Castillo for Fluminense is...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 69.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring rate

Recent form leans to Cruzeiro: 7 points versus 4 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

69.9%

Both teams to score

Cruzeiro BTTS

100%

Across recent matches

Fluminense BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Cruzeiro

W D W L

Form 2-1-1 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Fluminense

L W D L

Form 1-1-2 Goals 4:5 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.25

📊 Poisson model: 89% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #3 ✅ AI Analysed

Egypt · League Cup 18:00

Wadi Degla

18:00

Jun 1

Enppi

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

97%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

97%

Over 2.5

90%

BTTS

60%

AI Analysis

Wadi Degla's strong home form and Enppi's poor away record create a significant form gap. Wadi Degla's attacking threat, led by players like Ahmed Ayman, is a major concern for Enppi's defense. Enppi's recent struggles to score, with only 0.67 goals per game, will make it difficu...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 90.2% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring rate

Recent form leans to Wadi Degla: 7 points versus 1 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

90.2%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Wadi Degla high-scoring games

66.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Enppi high-scoring games

66.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Wadi Degla

D D D W D L

Form 1-4-1 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33

Enppi

D L L

Form 0-1-2 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Wadi Degla 0wins ·1 draws ·Enppi 0wins

Wadi Degla 0-0 EnppiMay 25, 2026

📊 Poisson model: 97% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #4 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro 17:00

UTS Rabat

17:00

Jun 1

Kawkab Marrakech

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

84%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

84%

Over 2.5

62%

BTTS

57%

AI Analysis

Kawkab Marrakech has a strong away record with 1.83 goals scored per game. UTS Rabat struggles at home with 0.3 goals scored per game. The pi-ratings also favor Kawkab Marrakech. With a high BTTS rate and strong attacking threat from Kawkab Marrakech, the match is likely to have...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 83.8% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

Strong form

Recent form leans to Kawkab Marrakech: 9 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away Win

Over 1.5 Goals probability

83.8%

Chance of 2+ total goals

UTS Rabat high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Kawkab Marrakech high-scoring games

83.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

UTS Rabat

W W L L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Kawkab Marrakech

W W L L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:7 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.17

📊 Poisson model: 84% chance of 2+ goals

How Over 1.5 Picks Work

Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.

82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.

5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.