⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed

Cameroon · Elite One 16:00

Victoria United

16:00

Jun 4

Jeunes Fauves

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

99%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

93%

BTTS

79%

AI Analysis

Victoria United has a higher pi-rating and expected goals. Jeunes Fauves concedes a lot. Victoria United's home form is not great but they are stronger. With a high BTTS rate and expected goals, Over 2.5 Goals is likely. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to high sc...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 78.6% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Victoria United: 6 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

78.6%

Both teams to score

Victoria United BTTS

60%

Across recent matches

Jeunes Fauves BTTS

40%

Across recent matches

Victoria United

L L L W W

Form 2-0-3 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.4 Conceded/game 2

Jeunes Fauves

L W L D L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 2.8

📊 Poisson model: 99% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #2 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro 19:00

Hassania Agadir

19:00

Jun 4

FUS Rabat

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

97%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

97%

Over 2.5

89%

BTTS

58%

AI Analysis

Hassania Agadir faces a tough test against FUS Rabat, with a significant form gap between them. FUS Rabat's strong away record and high expected goals rate pose a major threat. Hassania Agadir's attacking threat is notable, but their defense has been leaky. With FUS Rabat's solid...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 96.9% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

FUS Rabat dominance

Recent form leans to FUS Rabat: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.43 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away Win

Over 1.5 Goals probability

96.9%

Chance of 2+ total goals

Hassania Agadir high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

FUS Rabat high-scoring games

20%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Hassania Agadir

L W L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

FUS Rabat

W D L W W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 8:2 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 0.4

📊 Poisson model: 97% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #3 ✅ AI Analysed

Algeria · Ligue 1 17:00

Ben Aknoun

17:00

Jun 4

USM Alger

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

94%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

94%

Over 2.5

82%

BTTS

80%

AI Analysis

Ben Aknoun and USM Alger have a high scoring record, with Ben Aknoun averaging 2 goals per game at home. USM Alger have a strong away record, but Ben Aknoun's home form is impressive. The match has a high BTTS rate and over 2.5 goals probability. With no significant injuries or s...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 80.1% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

80.1%

Both teams to score

Ben Aknoun BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

USM Alger BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Ben Aknoun

L W

Form 1-0-1 Goals 4:3 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.5

USM Alger

L W W L D W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📊 Poisson model: 94% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #4 ✅ AI Analysed

Cameroon · Elite One 16:00

Colombe

16:00

Jun 4

Unisport Bafang

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

94%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

94%

Over 2.5

80%

BTTS

71%

AI Analysis

Colombe has a strong home record, scoring 2 goals per game and conceding none. Unisport Bafang has a high scoring rate, with 3.6 goals per game. The Poisson model suggests a high probability of over 2.5 goals. With Colombe's home strength and Unisport Bafang's attacking threat, b...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 71.4% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Colombe: 11 points versus 10 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 5.40 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

71.4%

Both teams to score

Colombe BTTS

40%

Across recent matches

Unisport Bafang BTTS

20%

Across recent matches

Colombe

W W W D D

Form 3-2-0 Goals 9:2 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 0.4

Unisport Bafang

W L D W W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 18:7 Scored/game 3.6 Conceded/game 1.4

📊 Poisson model: 94% chance of 2+ goals

How Over 1.5 Picks Work

Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.

82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.

5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.