⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed

Cameroon · Elite One 15:30

Aigle Royal

15:30

Jun 3

Cotonsport

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

98%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

98%

Over 2.5

93%

BTTS

83%

AI Analysis

Aigle Royal and Cotonsport have a significant form gap, with Cotonsport scoring 2 goals per game and Aigle Royal conceding 2 goals per game. Cotonsport's attacking threat is high, with an xG of 4. Aigle Royal's defensive strength is a concern, having failed to keep a clean sheet...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 82.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Cotonsport: 5 points versus 13 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

82.9%

Both teams to score

Aigle Royal BTTS

80%

Across recent matches

Cotonsport BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Aigle Royal

L L W D D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 2

Cotonsport

W W D W W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:6 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1

📊 Poisson model: 98% chance of 2+ goals

How Over 1.5 Picks Work

Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.

82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.

5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.