⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Egypt · Premier League
15:00
Petrojet
vs
El Gouna FC
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
94%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Petrojet's strong form and high scoring rate make them favorites. El Gouna FC's inconsistent form and low scoring rate are concerns. Petrojet's home advantage and El Gouna FC's away struggles also factor in. With Petrojet averaging 2.2 goals per game and El Gouna FC conceding 1.1...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.