⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
FT 1–0
Remo
vs
Sao Paulo
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
❌ Lost
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Remo has a strong home record with 1.75 goals scored per game. Sao Paulo concedes 2 goals per game. With both teams scoring in their last 4 matches, a high scoring game is expected. Remo's home advantage gives them an edge. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the...
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
FT 1–1
Cruzeiro
vs
Fluminense
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Cruzeiro has a slight edge in form, with 2 wins in their last 4 matches. Fluminense's away form is a concern, with 0 goals scored in their last 2 away matches. Cruzeiro's attacking threat, led by their home scoring rate, is a key factor. The absence of Castillo for Fluminense is...
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Egypt · League Cup
18:00
Wadi Degla
vs
Enppi
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
97%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Wadi Degla's strong home form and Enppi's poor away record create a significant form gap. Wadi Degla's attacking threat, led by players like Ahmed Ayman, is a major concern for Enppi's defense. Enppi's recent struggles to score, with only 0.67 goals per game, will make it difficu...
⚽ Pick #4
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
17:00
UTS Rabat
vs
Kawkab Marrakech
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
84%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Kawkab Marrakech has a strong away record with 1.83 goals scored per game. UTS Rabat struggles at home with 0.3 goals scored per game. The pi-ratings also favor Kawkab Marrakech. With a high BTTS rate and strong attacking threat from Kawkab Marrakech, the match is likely to have...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.