⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Algeria · Ligue 1
18:00
MC Oran
vs
USM Alger
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
87%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
USM Alger has a stronger record with 1.43 goals scored per game. MC Oran has a weaker defense, conceding 1.33 goals per game. The expected goals suggest a high scoring match. USM Alger's away form is a concern, but their overall strength gives them an edge. 💡 Tip: Over 1.5 Goals...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.