⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One
14:00
Fortuna Mfou
vs
PWD Bamenda
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
97%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Fortuna Mfou is in poor form with 3 losses in the last 5 matches, while PWD Bamenda has a strong attacking threat. PWD Bamenda's high scoring rate and Fortuna Mfou's defensive weakness make for a potentially high scoring match. The pi-ratings also favor PWD Bamenda. With PWD Bame...
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Kenya · Super League
13:00
Kabati Youth FC
vs
Naivas
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
90%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Kabati Youth FC struggles to score, while Naivas has a strong defense. Naivas' recent form shows a high scoring rate. The expected goals suggest a significant advantage for Naivas. With Naivas' strong attacking threat, defensive strength, and Kabati Youth FC's scoring struggles,...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.