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⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever
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75%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy 12/16 picks landed
👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One 16:00
Stade Renard
16:00
Jun 8
Unisport Bafang
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
99%
Goals probability breakdown
Over 1.5
99%
Over 2.5
95%
BTTS
84%
AI Analysis
Unisport Bafang's strong form and high scoring rate contrasts with Stade Renard's struggles. Unisport's attacking threat, led by their potent forwards, will test Stade Renard's defense. Stade Renard's home record is decent, but Unisport's away performances have been impressive. G...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Both Teams to Score is rated at 84% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.
High scoring
Recent form leans to Unisport Bafang: 5 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.77 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS probability
84%
Both teams to score
Stade Renard BTTS
66.7%
Across recent matches
Unisport Bafang BTTS
20%
Across recent matches
Stade Renard
L L W L D D
Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5
Unisport Bafang
W L D W W
Form 3-1-1 Goals 18:7 Scored/game 3.6 Conceded/game 1.4
⚽ Pick #2 ✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One 16:00
Aigle Royal
16:00
Jun 8
Gazelle
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
93%
Goals probability breakdown
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
79%
BTTS
77%
AI Analysis
Aigle Royal and Gazelle have a significant form gap, with Gazelle having a better away record. Aigle Royal's attacking threat is moderate, while Gazelle's defensive strength is relatively high. The key player impact is unknown due to lack of specific player data. The H2H signific...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Both Teams to Score is rated at 76.9% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.
High scoring
Recent form leans to Gazelle: 5 points versus 7 across the last 5 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.77 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS probability
76.9%
Both teams to score
Aigle Royal BTTS
80%
Across recent matches
Gazelle BTTS
33.3%
Across recent matches
Aigle Royal
L L W D D
Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 2
Gazelle
W L L D L W
Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1
⚽ Pick #3 ✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro 21:00
Olympique Dcheïra
21:00
Jun 8
Hassania Agadir
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
93%
Goals probability breakdown
Over 1.5
93%
Over 2.5
78%
BTTS
77%
AI Analysis
Olympique Dcheïra is in poor form, losing 4 of their last 6 matches, while Hassania Agadir has a high scoring trend. Hassania Agadir's attacking threat is significant, with an average of 1.83 goals scored per game. Olympique Dcheïra's defensive strength is a concern, conceding 1....
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Both Teams to Score is rated at 77% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.
High scoring trends
Recent form leans to Hassania Agadir: 2 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.
Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals
BTTS probability
77%
Both teams to score
Olympique Dcheïra BTTS
50%
Across recent matches
Hassania Agadir BTTS
83.3%
Across recent matches
Olympique Dcheïra
L L D D L L
Form 0-2-4 Goals 3:9 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1.5
Hassania Agadir
L W L D W L
Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5
⚽ Pick #4 ✅ AI Analysed
Egypt · League Cup 15:00
Masr
15:00
Jun 8
Wadi Degla
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
91%
Goals probability breakdown
Over 1.5
91%
Over 2.5
75%
BTTS
74%
AI Analysis
Masr and Wadi Degla have a high scoring history, with both teams scoring in 71% and 86% of their matches respectively. Masr's home form is strong, but Wadi Degla's away form is improving. The head-to-head record is limited, but their recent 2-2 draw suggests a closely contested m...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Both Teams to Score is rated at 74.2% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.
High scoring teams
Recent form leans to Masr: 11 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.
Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.
Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals
BTTS probability
74.2%
Both teams to score
Masr BTTS
66.7%
Across recent matches
Wadi Degla BTTS
83.3%
Across recent matches
Masr
W D D W L W
Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17
Wadi Degla
D D D W D L
Form 1-4-1 Goals 8:8 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.33
Head to head · last 1
Masr 0wins ·1 draws ·Wadi Degla 0wins
Masr 2-2 Wadi DeglaMay 21, 2026
⚽ Pick #5 ✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One 15:30
Jeunes Fauves
15:30
Jun 8
Aigle Royal de Moungo
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
87%
Goals probability breakdown
Over 1.5
87%
Over 2.5
68%
BTTS
69%
AI Analysis
Jeunes Fauves are in poor form, losing 3 of their last 5 matches. Aigle Royal de Moungo have a slight edge with their away pi-rating. The home team's defense is a concern, conceding 2.8 goals per game. With both teams having a high BTTS rate, goals are expected. 💡 Tip: Over 1.5...
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
Both Teams to Score is rated at 68.6% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.
High scoring probability
Recent form leans to Aigle Royal de Moungo: 4 points versus 5 across the last 5 matches.
Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals
BTTS probability
68.6%
Both teams to score
Jeunes Fauves BTTS
40%
Across recent matches
Aigle Royal de Moungo BTTS
80%
Across recent matches
Jeunes Fauves
L W L D L
Form 1-1-3 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 2.8
Aigle Royal de Moungo
D W L L D
Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.4
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.
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