⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever

75%

7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy 12/16 picks landed

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro 19:00

CR Khemis Zemamra

19:00

Jun 9

UTS Rabat

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

86%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

86%

Over 2.5

67%

BTTS

66%

AI Analysis

CR Khemis Zemamra and UTS Rabat have similar recent form, with both teams scoring and conceding at a similar rate. UTS Rabat's strong away form is a concern for CR Khemis Zemamra. The expected goals and Poisson model probabilities suggest a high-scoring match. With both teams hav...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 67.4% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High xG values

Recent form leans to UTS Rabat: 8 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

67.4%

Chance of 3+ total goals

CR Khemis Zemamra high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

UTS Rabat high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

CR Khemis Zemamra

L D D W W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 5:5 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 0.83

UTS Rabat

W W L L L W

Form 3-0-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

📊 Poisson model: 86% chance of 2+ goals

How Over 1.5 Picks Work

Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.

82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.

5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.