⚽ Over 1.5 Goals

Today's Over 1.5 Picks

Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.

📊 Poisson Modelled 🔓 Free Forever

75%

7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy 12/16 picks landed

👑 Best Pick ✅ AI Analysed

Cameroon · Elite One 14:00

Gazelle

14:00

Jun 14

Unisport Bafang

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

99%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

96%

BTTS

90%

AI Analysis

Gazelle and Unisport Bafang have a significant form gap, with Unisport Bafang scoring 3.6 goals per game. Unisport Bafang's attacking threat is high, while Gazelle's defensive strength is a concern. The key player impact is unknown due to lack of specific player data. The H2H sig...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 90% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Unisport Bafang: 7 points versus 10 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.77 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

90%

Both teams to score

Gazelle BTTS

33.3%

Across recent matches

Unisport Bafang BTTS

20%

Across recent matches

Gazelle

W L L D L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:6 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1

Unisport Bafang

W L D W W

Form 3-1-1 Goals 18:7 Scored/game 3.6 Conceded/game 1.4

📊 Poisson model: 99% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #2 ✅ AI Analysed

Morocco · Botola Pro 16:00

Hassania Agadir

16:00

Jun 14

Renaissance Berkane

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

99%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

99%

Over 2.5

94%

BTTS

89%

AI Analysis

Hassania Agadir and Renaissance Berkane have a significant form gap, with Renaissance Berkane being the stronger team. Hassania Agadir's attacking threat is notable at home, but Renaissance Berkane's defensive strength is a concern for them. The absence of specific key player inf...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 89.2% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring teams

Recent form leans to Renaissance Berkane: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

89.2%

Both teams to score

Hassania Agadir BTTS

83.3%

Across recent matches

Renaissance Berkane BTTS

50%

Across recent matches

Hassania Agadir

L W L D W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:15 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.5

Renaissance Berkane

W W W W D L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:6 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1

📊 Poisson model: 99% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #3 ✅ AI Analysed

Cameroon · Elite One 15:00

PWD Bamenda

15:00

Jun 14

Colombe

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

98%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

98%

Over 2.5

91%

BTTS

79%

AI Analysis

PWD Bamenda has a high scoring record at home, but Colombe's strong away form and defensive strength will be a challenge. Colombe's attacking threat, with a high xG value, will test PWD Bamenda's defense. The significant form gap between the two teams and Colombe's high pi-rating...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 78.6% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High scoring

Recent form leans to Colombe: 9 points versus 11 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.80 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

78.6%

Both teams to score

PWD Bamenda BTTS

80%

Across recent matches

Colombe BTTS

40%

Across recent matches

PWD Bamenda

W W W L L

Form 3-0-2 Goals 15:11 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 2.2

Colombe

W W W D D

Form 3-2-0 Goals 9:2 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 0.4

📊 Poisson model: 98% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #4 ✅ AI Analysed

Cameroon · Elite One 15:00

Stade Renard

15:00

Jun 14

Jeunes Fauves

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

96%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

96%

Over 2.5

86%

BTTS

67%

AI Analysis

Stade Renard's strong home form and high xG values indicate a high-scoring match. Jeunes Fauves' poor away form and high conceding rate make them vulnerable. With a significant form gap, Stade Renard are likely to dominate. Key players for Stade Renard will be crucial in this mat...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 86% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High xG values

Recent form leans to Stade Renard: 5 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

86%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Stade Renard high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Jeunes Fauves high-scoring games

60%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Stade Renard

L L W L D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Jeunes Fauves

L W L D L

Form 1-1-3 Goals 4:14 Scored/game 0.8 Conceded/game 2.8

📊 Poisson model: 96% chance of 2+ goals

⚽ Pick #5 ✅ AI Analysed

Cameroon · Elite One 15:30

Aigle Royal

15:30

Jun 14

Aigle Royal de Moungo

Our prediction

⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES

Probability

95%

Goals probability breakdown

Over 1.5

95%

Over 2.5

84%

BTTS

81%

AI Analysis

Aigle Royal has a slight edge at home with a pi-rating of 0.24. Aigle Royal de Moungo has struggled to score on the road. Blaise Ndiforchu's presence could boost Aigle Royal's attack. Both teams have high BTTS rates. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the strongest pick due to high expect...

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Both Teams to Score is rated at 81.3% by the model, supported by each side's recent scoring profile.

High xG values

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.60 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

BTTS probability

81.3%

Both teams to score

Aigle Royal BTTS

80%

Across recent matches

Aigle Royal de Moungo BTTS

80%

Across recent matches

Aigle Royal

L L W D D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.6 Conceded/game 2

Aigle Royal de Moungo

D W L L D

Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.4

📊 Poisson model: 95% chance of 2+ goals

How Over 1.5 Picks Work

Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.

82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.

5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.

🔞 18+ only. Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice. High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.