⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
76.5%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
13/17 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One
16:00
Cotonsport
16:00
Jun 17
Unisport Bafang
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
100%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Cotonsport and Unisport Bafang have a significant form gap, with Unisport Bafang scoring 3.6 goals per game. Unisport Bafang's attacking threat is high, while Cotonsport's defensive strength is a concern. The key player impact is unknown due to lack of specific player data. The H...
Cotonsport
Unisport Bafang
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
12:00
Mbeya City
12:00
Jun 17
Simba
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
Probability
88%
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Simba's recent form and high scoring rate make them favorites. Mbeya City's low scoring and Simba's strong defense are key factors. Simba's pi-rating and expected goals also indicate a strong advantage. With Simba's attacking threat and Mbeya City's defensive struggles, a win for...
Mbeya City
Simba
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.