⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
77.3%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
17/22 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
FT 2–1
Tanzania Prisons
2:1
FT
Mtibwa Sugar
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Tanzania Prisons and Mtibwa Sugar have poor recent form, with both teams conceding many goals. Mtibwa Sugar has a slightly better attack, but both teams struggle defensively. The match has a high expected goals rate, and both teams to score is likely. With the high scoring rates...
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
FT 3–0
Young Africans
3:0
FT
Tabora United
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Young Africans have a strong home record with 3 goals scored per game, while Tabora United have struggled on the road. Young Africans' attacking threat is significant, with a high expected goals rate. Their defensive strength is also notable, with a clean sheet percentage of 50%....
Young Africans
Tabora United
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
FT 2–0
Simba
2:0
FT
Singida Black Stars
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Simba has a strong form with 5 wins in their last 6 matches, scoring 2.17 goals per game. Singida Black Stars have also been scoring well with 2.17 goals per game. The pi-ratings show Simba as the stronger team. With both teams having a high BTTS rate, goals are expected. 💡 Tip:...
Simba
Singida Black Stars
⚽ Pick #4
✅ AI Analysed
Tanzania · Ligi kuu Bara
FT 0–2
Coastal Union
0:2
FT
Azam
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Azam's recent form and high scoring rate make them favorites. Coastal Union's defense is vulnerable, with 1.5 goals conceded per game. Azam's attacking threat, led by their key players, will be difficult to contain. The significant gap in form between the two teams suggests a win...
Coastal Union
Azam
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.