⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
77.3%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
17/22 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One
FT 2–1
Aigle Royal de Moungo
2:1
FT
PWD Bamenda
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Aigle Royal de Moungo and PWD Bamenda have a significant form gap, with PWD Bamenda showing strong attacking threat. PWD Bamenda's high scoring rate away from home is a concern for Aigle Royal de Moungo's defense. The absence of key players could impact Aigle Royal de Moungo's at...
Aigle Royal de Moungo
PWD Bamenda
⚽ Pick #2
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
FT 1–1
Hassania Agadir
1:1
FT
CR Khemis Zemamra
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Hassania Agadir's strong home form and high scoring rate contrast with CR Khemis Zemamra's tighter defense. Hassania Agadir's attacking threat, led by key players, may be too much for CR Khemis Zemamra. The lack of H2H data makes this match harder to predict, but Hassania Agadir'...
⚽ Pick #3
✅ AI Analysed
Cameroon · Elite One
FT 7–0
Colombe
7:0
FT
Jeunes Fauves
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Colombe's strong form and Jeunes Fauves' poor recent results indicate a significant gap. Colombe's attacking threat is high with an average of 1.8 goals scored per game. Jeunes Fauves' defensive struggles are evident with 2.8 goals conceded per game. No key player injuries were r...
Colombe
Jeunes Fauves
⚽ Pick #4
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
FT 2–2
FAR Rabat
2:2
FT
UTS Rabat
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
FAR Rabat has a slight edge over UTS Rabat due to home advantage. UTS Rabat's away form is strong, but FAR Rabat's defense can contain them. With both teams scoring frequently, a high-scoring match is likely. FAR Rabat's key players will drive their attack. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals...
⚽ Pick #5
✅ AI Analysed
Morocco · Botola Pro
FT 1–1
Difaa EL Jadida
1:1
FT
Kawkab Marrakech
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Difaa EL Jadida and Kawkab Marrakech have a high scoring record, with both teams scoring in 67% and 83% of their matches respectively. Kawkab Marrakech have a strong attacking threat, scoring 1.83 goals per game. Difaa EL Jadida have a decent defensive record, but may struggle ag...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.