⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
76.5%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
13/17 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
Mexico · Liga MX
FT 2–1
Necaxa
vs
Monterrey
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Necaxa and Monterrey have shown strong attacking threat, with Necaxa averaging 2 goals at home and Monterrey scoring 3 in their last match. Both teams have a high BTTS rate, indicating a likelihood of goals from both sides. The expected goals data also supports a high-scoring mat...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.