⚽ Over 1.5 Goals
Today's Over 1.5 Picks
Matches where our Poisson model gives 82% or higher probability of seeing 2 or more goals. Five picks every morning, sorted by confidence.
76.5%
7-Day Over 1.5 Accuracy
13/17 picks landed
👑 Best Pick
✅ AI Analysed
USA · Major League Soccer
FT 2–1
Columbus Crew
vs
FC Cincinnati
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Columbus Crew and FC Cincinnati have a significant form gap, with FC Cincinnati scoring 3 goals per game. The away team has a strong attacking threat, while Columbus Crew has a moderate defensive strength. The absence of Wessam Abou Ali is a key injury impact for Columbus Crew. F...
⚽ Pick #2
USA · Major League Soccer
FT 4–0
Los Angeles FC
vs
Sporting Kansas City
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
⚽ Pick #3
USA · Major League Soccer
FT 2–1
Portland Timbers
vs
Real Salt Lake
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
⚽ Pick #4
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
FT 1–1
Bahia
vs
Corinthians
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
✅ Won
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
Bahia and Corinthians have a history of high scoring matches. Bahia's home form is decent with an average of 1.5 goals scored per game. Corinthians' away form is weaker, but they still pose an attacking threat. With key players like Kayky for Bahia, they have a good chance of sco...
⚽ Pick #5
✅ AI Analysed
Brazil · Serie A
FT 0–0
RB Bragantino
vs
Coritiba
Our prediction
⚽ Over 1.5 Goals: YES
❌ Lost
Goals probability breakdown
AI Analysis
RB Bragantino has a strong home record, scoring 2 goals per game. Coritiba concedes 2.2 goals per game. With RB Bragantino's xG at 3.542, they are likely to score multiple goals. Coritiba's high BTTS rate also suggests both teams will score. 💡 Tip: Over 2.5 Goals is the stronges...
How Over 1.5 Picks Work
1
Poisson distribution modelling: we compute expected goals (xG) for both teams from recent form, attack/defense strength, and head-to-head data.
2
82% probability minimum: only matches where the model gives 82% or higher chance of 2+ goals make the cut. This filters out uncertain fixtures.
3
5 picks published at 08:00 Lagos, sorted by probability, highest first. Track our record on the stats page.
🔞 18+ only.
Over 1.5 Goals picks are for entertainment purposes only and do not constitute financial or betting advice.
High probability does not guarantee any outcome. Please gamble responsibly.